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AIA’s Expansion May Affect Capital Buffers, S&P Warns

by Celia

AIA’s ongoing expansion across the Asia-Pacific region, along with its increasingly progressive profit distribution, may lead to higher capital consumption, potentially affecting the insurer’s capital strength, according to a report from S&P Global Ratings.

The ratings agency notes that while AIA has bolstered its capital buffers, which now meet a 99.99% confidence level under S&P’s assessment, the insurer could see an upgrade in its ratings over the next two years if it continues to sustain its enhanced capital position.

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As of the end of 2023, following the implementation of the IFRS 17 accounting standards, AIA’s combined contractual service margins (CSM) and after-tax risk adjustments amounted to approximately $47 billion.

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However, S&P highlighted that fluctuations in interest rates could introduce volatility to AIA’s capitalization. Additionally, the insurer’s continued reliance on debt issuance for capital efficiency remains a point of focus, with 22 outstanding public debt issuances recorded by late 2024.

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